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Cache frontier weekly review - 2026-07-04

This is the second dated review entry for the cache frontier operating plan, following 2026-06-29. The matching machine row is appended to review-ledger.jsonl under schema fak-cache-frontier-review/1.

It also records the reconciliation done under #2184: the DEFAULT-ENABLEMENT-NEXT-50 backlog rows 22 / 26 / 27 now carry landed-increment cross-refs, and the cache-value roll-up Track 2 “Shipped” claim is date-stamped and scoped so no cache-frontier doc claims dollar witnessing the ledger does not show.

Evidence run

Commands run from the repo root on 2026-07-04:

go run ./cmd/fak nightrun score --json
go run ./cmd/fak cachevalue report --since 2026-06-22 --json
go run ./cmd/fak cachevalue review --since 2026-06-22 --date 2026-07-04 \
  --source-markdown reviews/2026-07-04.md \
  --append-ledger docs/cache-frontier/review-ledger.jsonl --json

1. What did we use ourselves this week?

Track 1 (WITNESSED kernel reuse) grew since 2026-06-29 and now includes guard sessions, not only run rows — so the no_guard_serve_dogfood_rows gap has closed. The corpus is still marked thin: true, so the reuse number is visible but not yet trend-strong.

Field Current value
Total cache-value sessions 11
Multi-turn sessions 6
Single-turn sessions 5
Total turns 71
Multi-turn turns 66
Prompt tokens 6051
Reused tokens 4056
Gate prompt tokens 5863
Gate reused tokens 4056
Realized reuse ratio 0.6965137614678899
Session type mix guard: 2, run: 9

The publishable value family is unchanged: marginal-over-tuned-warm-KV (~1.0x single-session; the vs-naive 1/(1-reuse) re-prefill multiple is excluded per #1066).

2. Track 2 exists now — but read the dollar provenance narrowly

The 2026-06-29 review named “no Track 2 provider-dollar row” as the top missing witness, because docs/nightrun/cache-savings.jsonl was absent. That gap is now partly closed: the ledger exists and the review fold reports track2_observed_usd.present = true. But the dollar columns are not what “OBSERVED net-dollar savings” is meant to certify, so record the state precisely:

Slice of cache-savings.jsonl Rows Dollar state
Total rows (2026-07-012026-07-04) 240 mixed, see below
Anthropic + fak-mechanism rows, pricing_source=default:anthropic/claude-opus-4-8 226 dollar columns present, but computed at DEFAULT list prices — a list-price equivalent, not a metered provider invoice
openai-responses (codex) rows, pricing_source=none 7 dollar_status=dollar_blind; every USD field 0
2026-07-01 rows (no pricing_source) 7 token-equivalent only; every USD field 0 — the original state #2184 described

So the honest headline: the read/write token counts are OBSERVED (from the provider response), and there are now 2 fak-authored compaction_shed rows in the ledger, but the dollars are DEFAULT-priced projections, and non-Anthropic traffic is still dollar_blind. A metered, net-OBSERVED-economics dollar witness is still open under #1544 (NEXT-50 item 26). The #2179 1h-write pricing-tier fix has landed (CLOSED), so the projected dollars now attribute upgraded writes to the correct tier.

3. What did epic #1844 land that the backlog had not credited?

The DEFAULT-ENABLEMENT-NEXT-50 rows now carry the landed-increment cross-refs, keeping the “planning artifact” header honest:

Item Landed increment Witness
22 — preserve cache_control / stable prefix through guard/serve #1850 (C6, 1h TTL upgrade) + #1851 (C7, uncached-remainder trim), both CLOSED under #1844 commits dbf5aaa4b, e717e4403 (fak gateway)
26 — join Track 2 provider-dollar rows into fak cachevalue report join mechanism live; item still OPEN (#1544) because the dollars are DEFAULT-priced projections cache-savings.jsonl + two-track fold; this review’s present:true
27 — provider-cache card fields write-premium / read-rebate / spend / net _usd fields + per-owner/per-mechanism attribution card (#1491 CLOSED); false-warm + agentic-activation fields still planned cache-savings.jsonl fields; #2179 pricing-tier fix

4. What is the next missing witness or product surface?

Gap Evidence Next action
Thin Track 1 corpus multi_turn_sessions=6, weekly bucket thin=true Accumulate more multi-turn guard / serve cache-value rows.
Metered net-OBSERVED dollars still absent all 226 priced rows use pricing_source=default:…; 14 rows dollar_blind / token-only Wire a metered provider-price source so Track 2 dollars become net OBSERVED, not projections (#1544).
Multi-agent win not a recurring dogfood geometry cache-value rows are guard / run, not a recorded 50-turn × 5-agent shape Add a recurring multi-agent dogfood run or review entry stating the geometry.
O(1) query not yet our own agent-memory workflow demo path exists; this review did not query a real fak session image Query a real fak session through the chosen O(1) memory path.

Verdict

VISIBLE_BUT_NOT_YET_PRODUCT_DOGFOOD. Track 2 rows now exist and the docs no longer disagree about whether the provider-dollar ledger is present — but the dollars are DEFAULT-priced projections, so the next review must move Track 2 from projected to metered net-OBSERVED economics (#1544), and Track 1 from thin guard / run evidence to a sustained dev-loop dogfood.